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January,
2003 Issue
Introduction
Canadian Internet use has been relatively flat in the last two
years. Sixty percent of Canadians reported going online in 2001.
Only 2 per cent more (62%), reported going online in 2002. This
modest growth occurs in spite of changes in the way Canadians
use the Internet. Many use the Internet to access government
services; others report a desire to vote municipally,
provincially or federally online. Concerns over privacy and
security remain at the heart of concerns about voting online.
In
Vancouver, companies such as hyperWallet have partnered with Las
Vegas based Gravitas to provide political parties and nonprofit
organizations with point of sale systems enabling them to use the Internet to receive payment at
fundraisers. The companies plan to target the nonprofit market,
which comprises 10% of the US economy.
Despite a decline in the number of investor
transactions since 2000, Royal Bank Action Direct reports growth
in self-managed investments with almost a 100 per cent increase
in visits to the web site. The
Interactive Advertising Bureau and eMarketer forecast 6.3% in
online advertising in 2003. Havas, in France, expects an 11.3%
increase, while the London School of Business expects a 23.3%
increase in online advertising expenditures. These optimistic
outlooks occur in spite of concerns
raised by Neufeld at the International
Internet Marketing Association that the
Internet has “over promised and under-delivered.” With
marketing executives clambering to justify
online advertising expenditures, it’s a wonder that research
based organizations such as eMarketer remain so optimistic.
In
the world of search engines, Yahoo! has offered to buy
Inktomi for $235 million. AltaVista has redesigned its
search engine, which remains awkward and cumbersome but offers
some nice jewels in the form of 24 hour refreshes and improved
relevance. HotBot has remodeled itself and, in some ways, is the
best search engine alive!
Search
engines continue to be the way that people find what they are
looking for. People are a greedy bunch, however. As Freud once
conjectured, we need immediate gratification. If we do not find
what we want in the first three pages of search results, 78% of
us abandon our search. Google, Fast, and Inktomi, therefore,
will continue to battle on factors such as relevance and
freshness to hold our interest. But, paid advertising which
drives the capitalist machine – the reason Yahoo! but Inktomi,
will win in the end.
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Contents
- Internet Use Remains Flat in Canada
- Canadian Demand for Online Government
Services
- Canadians Want Voting Online
- hyperWallet Takes Transactions for
Nonprofits and Political Groups
- Online Investing Grows at Royal Bank
- Buying Groceries Online
- Online Advertising Expected to Rise
- The Internet Over-Promised and
Under-Performed
- Yahoo! to Buy Inktomi
- AltaVista Search Engine Re-Designed
- Search Engine Users Seek Instant
Gratification
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Internet
Use Remains Flat in Canada
Internet
use in Canada has not grown since 2000. In 2002, 62% of
Canadians adults reported going online. In 2001, 60 per cent of
Canadian adults reported going online. This result suggests
relatively flat growth in overall Canadian Internet use.
In
the United States, in contrast, 72 per cent of adults reported
going online in the past 30 days. In 2000, 59 per cent of US
adults reported going online. This result comprises a
substantive increase in US Internet use. Overall, the results
for both Canada and the US suggest that Internet marketers
should target US based sales, sticking to traditional
performance based online programs in Canada.
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Strong
Canadian Demand for Online Government Services
In
2002, 48 per cent of Canadians reported using the Internet to
access government services online during the last 12 months. The
results vary across provinces as well: Ontario (55%); Quebec,
BC, and Alberta (46%); and Atlantic provinces (38%), as well
as prairie provinces (37%). These fluctuations may be a function of paid advertising
programs by governments as well as consumer interest in
government activities. The results suggest that efforts to
migrate government activities online have proven well received.
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Canadians
Want Voting Online
Roughly,
2 out of 3 Canadian voters say they would vote online if the
option were available to them. In response to interviews, (89%)
of Canadians who support online voting, claim that it would be
more convenient than heading to a polling booth. Another 63 per
cent believe that election results would be tabulated faster
than through traditional methods. The 2 main factors that may
dissuade Canadians from voting online are as follows: (1)
privacy concerns and (2) security issues. One respondent
reported
that “people are concerned about entering sensitive
information online.”
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HyperWallet
Takes Transactions for Nonprofits and Political Groups
HyperWallet
is a privately held company in Vancouver, Canada. This company
provides services that include real time online payment, point
of sale solutions, automatic currency conversion, and mass
remittance solutions for the North American market. Recently,
HyperWallet partnered with Gravitas Inc in Las Vegas to provide
instant fundraising technology for nonprofit and political
groups. This union means that nonprofit organizations will be
able to raise money in real time from remote locations without
having to wait for a follow-up phone call to secure funding.
Importantly, the nonprofit sector accounts for between 8 to 10%
of the total US economy. Furthermore,
recent research suggests that 76 per cent of US consumers are
likely to switch brands or retailer due to being associated with
a reputable charitable cause. The implications of this
information for Internet marketers are as follows: (1)
hyperWallet provides real time payment fulfillment solutions for
trade shows and conventions; and (2) organizations engaged in
brand wars may partner with nonprofit organizations to maximize
brand switching behaviours.
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Online
Investing Grows at Royal Bank
Financial
markets have cooled since 2000. Grant Rasmussen, the president
and CEO of Royal Bank Action Direct Inc, claims that the average
number of transactions has dropped from a high of 11 per year to
5 in 2002. But, the good news is that Canadians are sold on the
idea of managing their own investments. Typically,
Canadians share more than one relationship with a financial
institution – managing personal investments and dealing with a
banker or financial planner. The number of Action Direct
accounts has grown from about 460,000 to 600,000. The company
reports getting 100 per cent more hits on its web site than 2
years ago, despite overall trading being down about 40 per cent.
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Buying
Groceries Online
Online
shopping for groceries was thought to be the wave of the future.
Unfortunately, this business model never took off the way it was
expected too. Many businesses such as Giunta’s Thriftway in
East Bradford have realized that getting orders was only a piece
of the online shopping process. Companies would need to explore
new models: (1) “bricks and clicks” model in which Internet
companies work with food retail companies; (2) Grocery stores
buying Internet companies (Safeway buying Genuaradi’s); (3)
corporate branding initiatives such as the “Open Pantry” by
Clemens Family Markets in Delaware; (4) customers picking up
items purchase online; (5) warehouses just for online orders;
and (6) taking items of shelves for customers.
In
the US, online groceries account for less than $1 billion of the
US grocery business. Forrester Research suggests that in 2005, 8
per cent of the $500 billion US market or $40 billion will take
place over the web. Presently, retailers are struggling to find
the model that will work best for their business. Promisingly,
the new “Open Pantry” concept from Clemens Family
Restaurants is offering
shoppers a way to purchase hard-to-find ethnic regional and
specialty foods as well as jewelry, fragrances, and pet
products, gift items and other products not traditionally found
in the supermarket.
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Online
Advertising Expected to Rise in 2003
All
over the world, marketers are forecasting increases in online
advertising expenditures. The results are as follows: (1) a 6.3%
increase was forecast by US based Interactive
Advertising Bureau and eMarketer; (2) an 11.3% increase was
forecast by Havas in France; and (3) recently, Yahoo!, ESPN, and
New York Times, similarly, have reported bullish results for
online advertising revenues. The two-year slump in online
advertising expenditures has been blamed on factors such as a
sluggish US economy, dot com crashes, advertisers abandoning
huge portals, and industry confusing metrics. The London School
of Business argues that the United States, United Kingdom and
France were key drivers in Interactive marketing’s global
growth. The London School study, further, forecasts 12.7 per
cent US growth, 23.3 per cent UK growth, and 14.2 per cent
growth in France. Respondents in the study reported online
marketing’s cost-effectiveness and accountability as two
reasons for increasing spending in this area.
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Yahoo!
to Buy Inktomi
History
repeats itself at Yahoo! Following a decision to use Google
search, its ally and nemesis, Yahoo! has bought Inktomi for $235
million. The move gives Yahoo! access to the pay-for-inclusion
market through Inktomi’s Index Connect and Search Submit,
enabling retailers such as Amazon and Wal-Mart to host their
wares online. The purchase revives Inktomi, which powers search
engines such as Lycos/HotBot, MSN, and Overture.
Inktomi
entered the search engine market in 1986, specializing in
algorithmic Web Search technology. Last year, however, Inktomi
lost market share to Google, which provides search results for
portals such as AOL, iwon, and Yahoo! In terms of Internet
marketing strategy, the Yahoo! and Inktomi relationship may lead
to the following: (1) blended Inktomi and Google search results
in Yahoo; (2) Yahoo will target paid inclusion results from e-tailers
with large databases; (3) MSN may consider a merger with
Fast or
LookSmart to withstand market penetration from Yahoo and Google;
and (4) search engine marketers may expect to see Google drop
DMOZ as its central directory and partner with Yahoo! and JoeAnt
as prime sources of directory listings.
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The
Internet Over-Promised and Under-Delivered
The
Internet has over-promised and under-delivered. As an
advertising medium, the Internet has missed the four-year window
of opportunity to prove itself, claimed Neufeld at a meeting of
the International Internet Marketing Association. “And in all
the research we’ve done, the Internet has not clearly defined
itself. Executives don’t know why they’re using it. It
doesn’t always present a clear value to them.” The reality
is that the Internet is about high-consideration goods and
products. People on the Internet are focused on looking for
information and looking for buying decision support. In terms of
Internet marketing strategy, this information suggests that
marketers should utilize consumer information and education as a
way to augment the sales process online – especially, for
long-term big value items such as cars. Similarly, 89 per cent
of people online say they are going to buy or research
automotive purchases in the next 12 to 24 months.
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AltaVista
Search Engine Re-Designed
The
search engine that changes its appearance every two years –
AltaVista – has changed again. While the company boasts some
promising modifications such as full 45-day refreshes and
24-hour refreshes for frequently requested URLs, the adjustments
seem moot. AltaVista is not competitive with Google, Fast, or
the newly redesigned HotBot.
The
company is working on the idea of increasing personal search
relevancy without being too intrusive. This sounds like a
strategy that will employ hidden cookies or user registration
mixed with artificial intelligence algorithms to determine user
interests. The Chief Scientist at AltaVista, Jan Pedersen,
claims that “ . . . the real question going forward is whether
people can get answers to their questions rather than what’s
in the index.” This explanations sums up the problem at
AltaVista: it assumes that users want information, which is a
research based way of interpreting the world, instead of
products, services, fun, and concepts that run the full gamut of
human experience. Until AltaVista emphasizes the need for a
relevant search engine mixed with a keen understanding of human
motivation, the company will not reach the values provided by other
search engines.
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Search
Engine Users Seek Instant Gratification
Research
conducted by iProspect suggests that 78% of users will abandon a
search engine because they could not find what they were looking
for on the first three pages. Search engines are used by 77 per
cent of US Internet Users. More than half of Internet users
(52%) use only search engine. The implications of this finding
are that marketers need to advertise their services on multiple
search engines. Importantly, 28 per cent of people who perceive
inaccurate search results will not go beyond the second page.
This result stresses the need for relevant search results.
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